• SleafordMod@feddit.uk
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    18 hours ago

    I didn’t say Russian only lies. I said Russia “has lied about pretty much everything for a long time”. That is not the same thing.

    assuming the opposite of whatever Russia says

    I’m not just assuming the opposite of Russia’s statements. I’m drawing a best guess conclusion based on two premises:

    • Russia has a history of lying about its true intentions and actions
    • Russian oligarchs and elites would absolutely be interested in mineral wealth, given their history of megalomania

    I think it’s likely that mineral wealth would have been part of the Kremlin’s motivation to invade. Along with general megalomania and irredentism.

    • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
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      18 hours ago

      Certainly you can see how the statement that “Russia has lied about pretty much everything” can be seen as “Russia always lies,” right?

      Either way, I still don’t see why NATO expansionism would not be the primary factor, given that that has been a huge part of Russian geopolitics since back when they were still Socialist. Mineral access could be a secondary factor, but that doesn’t explain minerals being absent from the peace deal proposed by Russia near the beginning of the war, which instead focused on NATO.

      It seems more likely that as Ukraine and the US rejected the Russian-proposed peace deals, Russia has seen that as an additional opportunity to recoup some of the cost of the war through going for minerals as a secondary objective.